How do the Leafs incumbents measure up to the goaltending market

The Leafs are going to be aggressively dipping their toes into the waters of the goaltending market this summer, but should they? The answer definitely seems to be yes. Taking a look at five goaltending measures from last season it’s clear there are some options out there that the Leafs might want to explore.
The numbers used are from Moneypuck and goaltenders needed to play in at least 16 games to be on the list. There are 67 goaltenders in the league who met that criteria and are ranked.
Goals Saved Above expected/60
Eric Comrie
0.603
2nd
Darcy Kuemper
0.387
7th
Ville Husso
0.346
8th
Matt Murray
0.163
18th
Scott Wedgewood
0.046
27th
Braden Holtby
0.032
29th
Jack Campbell
-0.049
36th
Alexandar Georgiev
-0.234
49th
John Gibson
-0.265
50th
Marc-Andre Fleury
-0.321
54th
Petr Mrazek
-0.668
64th
Kevin Lankinen
0.945
66th
Consider this first table your introduction to three truths.
Jack Campbell is decidedly middle of the pack.
Petr Mrazek is consistently at the bottom.
Eric Comrie is worth the look in the 1B position.
Save % Above Expected
Eric Comrie
0.012
2nd
Darcy Kuemper
0.007
7th
Ville Husso
0.006
8th
Matt Murray
0.003
20th
Scott Wedgewood
0.001
26th
Braden Holtby
0.001
28th
Jack Campbell
-0.001
37th
John Gibson
-0.004
47th
Alexandar Georgiev
-0.004
50th
Marc-Andre Fleury
-0.005
52nd
Petr Mrazek
-0.013
65th
Kevin Lankinen
-0.018
66th
These numbers are very much a mirror of what is seen above. Interestingly, they might be making a case for Matt Murray, a goaltender speculated on recently, and showing that John Gibson doesn’t represent any improvement over Jack Campbell. This might change in later graphs, but Alexandar Georgiev is beginning to look like a reclamation project rather than a potential starter. Is a reclamation project the way the Leafs will want to start off working with a new goaltending coach?
Wins Above Replacement
Darcy Kuemper
3.49
5th
Ville Husso
2.26
9th
Eric Comrie
1.72
14th
Matt Murray
0.53
24th
Scott Wedgewood
0.27
27th
Braden Holtby
0.11
30th
Jack Campbell
-0.39
39th
Alexandar Georgiev
-1.14
47th
Petr Mrazek
-1.94
56th
John Gibson
-2.38
61th
Marc-Andre Fleury
-2.94
64th
Kevin Lankinen
-4.77
66th
If you are wondering why Mrazek took the jump here, it’s because this isn’t a rate stat. This is based on time played, which makes Comrie’s results even more impressive. I don’t know how much of Fleury and Lankinen’s numbers on being in Chicago, but at this point I’d hope that even with Fleury being a recent Vezina winner, he’s probably established himself as too much of a risk for the cost that will be associated with him.
High Danger Unblocked Shot Attempt Save %
John Gibson
0.830
2nd
Ville Husso
0.742
12th
Eric Comrie
0.727
19th
Darcy Kuemper
0.713
24th
Matt Murray
0.712
26th
Braden Holtby
0.707
27th
Jack Campbell
0.676
40th
Alexandar Georgiev
0.671
43rd
Kevin Lankinen
0.650
50th
Scott Wedgewood
0.648
51st
Marc-Andre Fleury
0.630
58th
Petr Mrazek
0.595
63rd
Here’s where you really get at the heart of the Leafs …

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Author: Jon Steitzer / The Leafs Nation

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