The Toronto Blue Jays starting rotation is fascinating to me. They have three pitchers pitching like front-line starters, while the back end of the rotation has some upside.

Do I think the rotation is good enough to make the playoffs? Absolutely. Is it good enough to make a deep run in them? That’s a little hard to say, and it really just depends on one guy.
Jose Berrios:
The trade for Jose Berrios was good. Heck, I’d even argue his contract that he signed in the past off-season was good even, despite his inconsistent play in 2022. Which is odd, given his prior success.
From 2017-2021, Berrios posted a 3.74 ERA and 3.79 FIP in 793.1 innings pitched, the 7th most during that stretch.
This season has been difficult for the 28-year-old righty, as he’s posted a 5.28 ERA and 4.83 FIP in 134.2 innings pitched. Moreover, his 21.7 K% is below his career average of 23.5%, and his mark of 26.1% last season.
That isn’t to say there haven’t been some bright spots. For starters, he arguably has the nastiest stuff out of any of the Jays starters.
Not just that, but 13 of his starts have been considered “quality starts” (6 innings pitched with 3 or less earned runs). Furthermore, four more starts (what I’m deeming a “solid start) that have been an inning or less away from a quality start, so 17 of his 25 starts have actually been pretty solid.
In those 17 good starts, he’s pitched 107.2 innings and has an ERA of 2.59 and a …

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Author: Brennan Delaney / Blue Jays Nation