Over/Under: Previewing the Blue Jays Starting Pitchers using ZiPS projections

Part three of this season preview will look at starting pitching. The rotation for the Blue Jays has plenty of question marks after Hyun-Jin Ryu, so let’s get into the ZiPS projections and see how this rotation shakes out.
Since we are dealing with pitchers, the under means I expect them to do better than the projections. 

Hyun Jin Ryu

Innings
ERA
FIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
WAR

138.0
3.58
3.75
8.66
1.82
1.24
3.0

Ryu is the Blue Jays ace, and as long as he is healthy he will deal. Health has been an issue for Ryu in the past but he has been healthy the past two seasons and hopefully, that continues into this season. Health is the only reason he won’t hit these projections. Ryu has only had an era higher than these projections once in his career, so I’ll take the under on his ERA. His velocity was down at the start of spring but he ramped up pitching simulated games, and in his last start his fastball was hitting 90-91. Even if his velocity does decline he still keeps hitters off balance with his array of off-speed pitches. His change-up was sharp this spring, and was responsible for six of …

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Author: Paul Berthelot / Blue Jays Nation

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