Good Luck, Bad Luck, and Batting Average on Balls in Play

BABIP. What is it? BABIP or Batting Average on Balls In Play is a metric used to measure how often contact leads to a hit. Some say it measures luck and I will agree. To a certain extent that is.

BABIP is a stat that needs further explanation using further stats. Reese McGuire is often considered a lucky hitter. Why? His BABIP is .350.
Now the same people that would consider McGuire lucky wouldn’t consider Vlad Guerrero Jr lucky, even though his BABIP is slightly higher at .352. 
This begs the question, what’s the difference? In this article, I look to answer that through two explanations while also giving an example of an unlucky hitter.
I am (bat) speed
Baseball is quite a complex game even if non-baseball fans will tell you otherwise. Hitting is no different. As a baseball outsider, we can use stats to quantify how good a player is. 
To put it simply, the difference between Vlad Jr and McGuire comes down to the fact that one player hits it hard while the other player hits the ball at medium speed 61% of the time.
Let’s talk about percentiles using Baseball Savant.
Reese McGuire doesn’t hit …

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Author: Brennan Delaney / Blue Jays Nation

Getting a Good Read on the Marlies

If you are fan of below average puns you have to be excited for the Marlies signing Matt Read to an AHL deal. If you are a fan of speedy two way veteran wingers you probably also like the move. Additionally, if you want to hold out hope that if the Leafs see their roster thin from injuries that Read could be a good option for them, you also probably like this deal. If you are going to work and the biggest sign on the window says “Minnows” then you might be a redneck.
Anyway, back to Matt Read.
Earlier this month I took a look at Matt Read, but included in that for those of you who don’t feel like clicking is a breakdown of how he compares to other Marlies veteran wingers…

MATT READ
PONTUS ABERG
NIC PETAN
KENNY AGOSTINO
AGE
33
25
24
27
HEIGHT
5’10
5’11
5’9
6’0
SHOOTS
RIGHT
RIGHT
LEFT
LEFT
NHL GP
12
57
18
27
NHL GOALS
1
12
1
4
NHL POINTS
1
25
3
13
AHL GP
61
2
0
12
AHL GOALS
16
1
0
4
AHL POINTS
37
2
0
10
ONTARIO BOY?
YES!
SWEDE!
BC :'(
‘MURICA
CF%
51.88
51.44
53.67
52.97
XGF%
52.37
47.4
46.4
50.86
GF%
41.67
43.86
30.77
50.94
So all and all, on par with the field.
The post also concluded that the likely outcome was that he’d find himself with the Marlies if he …

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Author: Jon Steitzer / The Leafs Nation