Maple Leafs 2021-2022 Player’s Point Projections

Editor’s note: I’m very excited to have a good friend of the blog Clay Collins making his TLN debut today in a guest post. My fingers are crossed that we can make it more of a regular thing. Clay has been developing a player point projection model, and admittedly I’m a sucker for it as I am a sucker for anything that gives me a range to work with rather than an absolute number. I encourage you all to check out Clay’s work, and give him a follow on twitter. Hopefully this will lead to more of his work appearing on The Leafs Nation.
Maple Leafs 2021-2022 Player’s Point Projections
by Clay Collins

DISCLAMER – This model is NOT using best practices when creating and implementing a model. And this was sort of by design. I wanted to put together a very quick and dirty model this season and see my own personal growth through my models as I progress through my schooling and career as a data scientist.  This season is a baseline for me, and as such has some very major issues. There are plenty of much smarter and more experienced modelers and projections …

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Author: TLN Staff / The Leafs Nation

More like Zach Byeman, as Hyman is heading to Edmonton

More like Zach Byeman, as Hyman is heading to Edmonton

As a Leafs fan based in Edmonton, I’m excited about my potential new neighbour. Maybe Zach and I can go for donairs or check out an Elks game. Who knows.
Anyway, if you haven’t guessed by now, Hyman is almost certainly Edmonton bound, and likely to spend the next few years reaping the benefits of being Connor McDavid’s LW.

Further to Friedge’s report: Word is that an eight-year contract for Hyman with the #oilers would come in a shade under the $5.125M AAV on Ryan Nugent-Hopkins’ recent deal.
A seven-year contract for Hyman would be closer to $5.5M AAV. https://t.co/LozsslxyOF
— Chris Johnston (@reporterchris) July 22, 2021

So that’s looking pretty absolute and while that could play out next week, there’s also a chance that it could play out today if the Oilers are willing to make a deal with the Leafs to activate the 8 year option rather than paying the higher cap hit for the shorter term.
There is definite value in bringing down the cap hit by $375k a year, and there’s a definite benefit in not giving someone another week to rethink moving to Edmonton.

A lot of talk about what …

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Author: Jon Steitzer / The Leafs Nation

BJN Radio – Ep. 19: We’re done with the Astros!

Well, I’m certainly excited to not have to see the Houston Astros again this season!

Hyun Jin Ryu had a rare bad start on Friday night, Ross Stripling helped the team get back in the win column on Saturday, and then the Blue Jays got dropped in an incredibly boring Sunday slog of a rubber match, ultimately losing two of three over the weekend.
We talked about the challenges of Toronto having such a lefty-heavy starting rotation, whether or not we believe that Stripling’s turnaround is legit, and the team’s rollercoaster ride on defence. We also took a look down at the minor leagues, as Austin Martin smashed his first two professional homers this week and Nate Pearson got lit up.
Finally, we looked ahead to the series against the Chicago White Sox, who might boast the strongest roster in the American League right now.
You can listen to the episode here…

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Author: Cam Lewis / Blue Jays Nation

TLN Three Stars: There’s always tomorrow, right?

Where do I begin with this one? As always, I was excited to watch a good ol’ hockey game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Montreal Canadiens, what really gets better than this match up? Well, it turns out a lot of things. I think the Leafs got the start time of this game mixed up, because they ended the first period trailing 0-2, and got outshot by the Canadiens 11-3. The Leafs woke up in the second and managed to bounce back with goals by Auston Matthews and John Tavares. But that didn’t last long as Josh Anderson helped his team regain the lead less than two minutes later. The Canadiens managed to hold on and score another in the third as they ended the game 4-2, and the Toronto Maple Leafs took the L.
Three Stars
3rd Star: John Tavares
Oh captain, my captain! John Tavares managed to tie the game up tonight after a very rough first period by the Leafs. His goal put some much needed energy and enthusiasm into the team, and it looked like the boys were going to make a comeback. They didn’t, but Tavares still had a decent game. …

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Author: Roxanne Khasow / The Leafs Nation

Lamenting the Leafs: Soup’s On

I’m excited to be introducing the Lamenting the Leafs podcast, a brand new show hosted by three Leafs fans from Atlantic Canada. Myself, along with my longtime friends Cam MacEachern and Keith Whipple, will strive to bring you insightful analysis of everything that’s happening in Leafs Nation and the hockey world at large, while having some fun along the way. We hope you’ll give it a listen, and if you like what you hear, subscribe to the podcast to stay up to date with future episodes.
In our debut show we discuss Kyle Dubas’ teambuilding philosophy, how the additions of TJ Brodie, Joe Thornton, Wayne Simmonds, and Zach Bogosian change the look of the Leafs lineup, and provide initial reactions to some breaking news regarding the latest Leafs signing.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4i8lpzJrtQ4N4YAWoAg1x2?si=aAYJf1h5STCVEb7tjd9VPw
SoundCloud: https://soundcloud.app.goo.gl/f4FJvHxZudhhymwr7
Follow us on twitter @LamentingLeafs, @CarlPeelash, @keithwhipp, and @_NickRichard

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Author: Nick Richard / The Leafs Nation

They’re playing baseball games (without fans) in Korea

I don’t know if I’ve ever been so excited after reading a tweet from Jon Heyman, but here we are. It might not be much, but Heyman’s report that baseball games are being played in Korea offers us a slight glimmer of hope.

They are playing baseball now in Korea. Gives us something to aspire to.
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) March 21, 2020

And here’s what Hanwha’s intrasquad game looked like today. pic.twitter.com/9DitLXaF4O
— Dan Kurtz (@MyKBO) March 17, 2020

Live Intrasquad Baseball featuring the Kiwoom Heroes
Live at https://t.co/y17uCEGXlG pic.twitter.com/fSwAiKs4VP
— Dan Kurtz (@MyKBO) March 18, 2020

The Korean Baseball Organization, who, just like everybody else around the world, had its season postponed due to the COVID-19 breakout, has started to play intrasquad games. These games are just little exhibition matches between players on the same teams and they aren’t played in front of fans, but it’s a start.
What this should give us over in North America is something to aspire to. Korea has received praise for its COVID-19 strategy, as they rapidly tested everybody in order to identify and isolate the …

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Author: Cam Lewis / Blue Jays Nation

Getting a Good Read on the Marlies

If you are fan of below average puns you have to be excited for the Marlies signing Matt Read to an AHL deal. If you are a fan of speedy two way veteran wingers you probably also like the move. Additionally, if you want to hold out hope that if the Leafs see their roster thin from injuries that Read could be a good option for them, you also probably like this deal. If you are going to work and the biggest sign on the window says “Minnows” then you might be a redneck.
Anyway, back to Matt Read.
Earlier this month I took a look at Matt Read, but included in that for those of you who don’t feel like clicking is a breakdown of how he compares to other Marlies veteran wingers…

MATT READ
PONTUS ABERG
NIC PETAN
KENNY AGOSTINO
AGE
33
25
24
27
HEIGHT
5’10
5’11
5’9
6’0
SHOOTS
RIGHT
RIGHT
LEFT
LEFT
NHL GP
12
57
18
27
NHL GOALS
1
12
1
4
NHL POINTS
1
25
3
13
AHL GP
61
2
0
12
AHL GOALS
16
1
0
4
AHL POINTS
37
2
0
10
ONTARIO BOY?
YES!
SWEDE!
BC :'(
‘MURICA
CF%
51.88
51.44
53.67
52.97
XGF%
52.37
47.4
46.4
50.86
GF%
41.67
43.86
30.77
50.94
So all and all, on par with the field.
The post also concluded that the likely outcome was that he’d find himself with the Marlies if he …

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Author: Jon Steitzer / The Leafs Nation