Analyzing the declining tradability of Randal Grichuk’s contract

When the Blue Jays signed Randal Grichuk to a five-year, $52 million contract extension in April, many were surprised by the parameters and length of the deal, which was considered to be wholly unnecessary to begin with. Granted, the team acquired him for almost nothing and slotted him in immediately upon his arrival.
Regardless, Grichuk didn’t have a particularly spectacular debut season in Toronto and didn’t appear to be a leading candidate for a major extension, especially given the sheer quantity of supporting outfielders that surrounded him this season.
Sure, he’d been productive (115 wRC+, 2.1 WAR, .803 OPS), but his peripheral numbers, mainly his career .293 OBP, don’t appear to be sustainable or attractive long-term, especially to an organization that claims to be as forward-thinking and analytically-driven as the Blue Jays.
At the time the contract was signed, there was one sure thing that Blue Jays fans could hang their hats on despite the numerous potential issues: the contract would tradeable due to its relatively sensible term and dollar amount.
Blue Jays radio host Scott MacArthur often reassured anxious callers that, should Grichuk’s value plummet or should he somehow become expendable, the front office could deal him without having …

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Author: Hayden Godfrey / Blue Jays Nation

A referendum on the Randal Grichuck contract

With 29 home runs, Randal Grichuk is inching towards his first 30 home run season of his year. If he reaches that treshold and maintains his current on base percentage, Grichuk will find himself among exclusive company.
He could become the sixth player in MLB history to hit 30 or more home runs in a single season, all while posting an OBP if .285 or less. The list of infamous hitters includes Dave Kingman, Tony Batista, Rougned Odor, Cory Snyder and Tony Armas.

With his 29th home run tonight, Randal Grichuk inches closer towards the 30 home run/sub .285 OBP club. Only five players in MLB history have ever done that in a single season. (Rougned Odor is one of them).
— Ian Hunter (@BlueJayHunter) September 18, 2019

When the Blue Jays acquired Grichuk in January 2018, it seemed like he had 30-plus home run potential in his bat. With his batted ball statistics and switching to a hitter-friendly ballpark, it seemed like he could easily reach that 30 home run plateau.
Even though he’ll likely reach that milestone this season, is it really that special when his OBP is the third-worst in MLB this year? (Sandwiched in between Odor and Kevin Pillar).
With the 2019 season coming to a …

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Author: Ian Hunter / Blue Jays Nation