Flames vs Maple Leafs 02/24/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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The Toronto Maple Leafs have regained betting value after a rough defeat, which might benefit bettors who are not scared off by injuries or an inauspicious moneyline history. The Maple Leafs are -145 favourites and the Calgary Flames are +125 underdogs with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Wednesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
After a 3-0 defeat against Calgary on Monday, Toronto is just 4-9 in its last 13 home games as a moneyline favourite of -135 to -155 at online betting sites. The total also finished UNDER in nine of those matchups. Calgary is 8-4 in its last 12 away games as a +115 to +135 underdog, with a 6-6 OVER/UNDER split. Head-to-head, the Maple Leafs are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the favorite against Calgary, with the UNDER hitting seven times.
Flames vs Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
Monday’s result notwithstanding, Toronto’s advanced stats offered some positives on the night. The Maple Leafs earned the edge over the Flames in shots-for percentage (53.5), expected goals-for percentage (69.0 xGF%) and high-danger chances share (72.7, their third-best of the season) in the five-on-five phase, according to Natural Stat Trick. (All advanced stats include only five-on-five …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation

Flames vs Maple Leafs 02/22/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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The Toronto Maple Leafs have Auston Matthews in peak form as they take on a slumping opponent, which suggests they can continue to add to a recent moneyline trend. The Maple Leafs are -165 favourites and the Calgary Flames come back as +145 away underdogs with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Monday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Toronto is 6-3 in its last nine games against Calgary, with the total finishing UNDER six times  at online sports betting sites. The Maple Leafs are 9-7 in their last 16 home games as a -150 to -180 favourite on the moneyline, with an 8-8 OVER/UNDER split. More recently, though, they are 4-1 in their last five home games when their odds closed in that range, and four of the games finished UNDER. The Flames are 5-15 in their last 20 games as an away underdog of +130 to +160 on the moneyline, with the UNDER hitting 11 times.
Flames vs Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
Over the two teams’ last four matchups, Toronto is under 50 percent in both shots-for and expected goals-for percentages, as well as high-danger chances shares, during the five-on-five phase, according to Natural Stat Trick. …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation

Maple Leafs vs Canadiens 02/20/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are more up to game speed than the Montreal Canadiens in a matchup that is a toss-up on paper. The Maple Leafs will face the rival Canadiens in a game that is a -110 pick’em with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Saturday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Toronto is 9-6 in its last 15 games on the road at -110 to -130, with the OVER hitting in nine of those matchups at betting sites. Montreal, which is returning to action from a six-day break and also has a game against the Ottawa Senators on Sunday, is 6-9 in its last 15 games that were the front end of a back-to-back. The total has gone OVER in eight of the Canadians’ 11 most recent games when they were also playing the next day.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens | OddsShark Matchup Report
Toronto is 2-1-0 against Montreal. Head-to-head, the Canadiens have been slightly more proficient than the Maple Leafs in the five-on-five phase, with a 50.9 expected-goals for percentage (xGF%) and 54.0 high-danger chances share, according to Natural Stat Trick. (All advanced stats include only five-on-five play.)
The Maple Leafs improved to 13-3 …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation

Senators vs Maple Leafs 02/17/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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Goaltending questions and an epic collapse in their last outing makes the Toronto Maple Leafs low-reward and all risk on the moneyline, so bettors might find better value within totals props.
The Maple Leafs are -310 favorites and the Ottawa Senators are +255 underdogs with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Wednesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Toronto is 15-5 in its last 20 home games when it went deeper than -225 on the moneyline, with the OVER hitting 12 times. Ottawa has won its last two road matchups where it was an underdog of +225 or more, but is 3-17 in its last 20 away games when its price passed that mark. The total has gone OVER in 10 of the last 15 Senators-Maple Leaf matchups.
Senators vs Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
Toronto is 3-5 in its last eight games when it was also playing the following day, with the total going OVER six times at sports betting sites. Ottawa is 3-8 in its last 11 games on the front end of a back-to-back, with the total going OVER eight times
The teams play again on Thursday. Toronto is 5-15 in its last 20 games when it played the …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation

AL East Division Odds: Blue Jays Trail Yankees

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The general consensus that the Toronto Blue Jays have not done enough to upgrade their starting pitching might work in favour of sustaining their betting value in American League East Division champion futures.
The Blue Jays are listed at +333 on the odds to win the AL East at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The New York Yankees are minus money as the -165 favourite, with second-favorite Toronto just ahead of the defending division and AL champion Tampa Bay Rays (+400). The Boston Red Sox (+2200) and Baltimore Orioles (+7500) fill out the board.
Toronto, of course, has been a buyer over the winter, signing slugging outfielder George Springer and middle infielder Marcus Semien, a one-time AL MVP finalist, to add a veteran presence to their nucleus of shortstop Bo Bichette, corner infielder Vladimir Guerrero and outfielder Teoscar Hernandez, who helped the Blue Jays score the third-most runs in the AL last season.
The lack of starting pitching depth behind ace lefthander Hyun-Jin Ryu is a concern, but it also suggests the Blue Jays might have their eyes (and budgeting) on adding closer to the trade deadline in a season when many teams carrying big veteran contracts could be …

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Author: Nation World HQ / Blue Jays Nation

Senators vs Maple Leafs 02/15/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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The combination of a veteran rejoining their top line, a home-ice loss to shake off and a rebuilding opponent means the Toronto Maple Leafs’ best betting value might be found in the alternate game lines.
The Maple Leafs are -300 favourites and the Ottawa Senators are +250 underdogs with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Monday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Maple Leafs are 16-4 in their last 20 home games when they go deeper than -225 as the moneyline favourite, with the total going OVER 12 times. Nine of those wins were by more than 1.5 goals.
Senators vs Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
The Senators are 3-17 in their last 20 games as an away underdog of +200 or more, with the total going UNDER 11 times. Ten of those defeats were by more than 1.5 goals. The total has gone OVER at online betting sites in 10 of the teams’ last 14 matchups, but all four UNDER results are within their six most recent meetings.
The Senators and Maple Leafs, who are playing three games in four nights this week, were on the opposite ends of 2-1 games on Saturday. Ottawa edged the Winnipeg Jets despite being on …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation

Maple Leafs vs Canadiens 02/10/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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The Toronto Maple Leafs have had trouble winning on the road against the Montreal Canadiens, who have become one of the best-structured teams in hockey. The Maple Leafs are -105 underdogs and the Canadiens are -115 favourites with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Wednesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Toronto is 3-11 in its last 14 away games against Montreal, including 0-3 in the three most recent meetings between the North Division archrivals. The Maple Leafs are also 4-8 in their last 12 games as an underdog at betting sites on the road, with the total going OVER eight times. The Canadiens are 6-2 in their last eight home games as a favourite of -110 to -125. Six of the last seven Montreal-Toronto matchups have finished OVER, as one might expect in a showdown of the NHL’s two highest-scoring teams.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens | OddsShark Matchup Report
On Monday, the Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1 while being on the short end in shots on goal, scoring chances and expected goals while playing five-on-five, according to Natural Stat Trick.
The Maple Leafs are 10-2-1 and their first line with Auston …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation

Canucks vs Maple Leafs 02/08/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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The Toronto Maple Leafs’ betting value has been deflated by two lopsided wins, which means bettors might want to pore over alternate lines if they expect more of the same from the scuffling Vancouver Canucks. The Maple Leafs are -210 favourites and the visiting Canucks are +175 underdogs with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Monday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Toronto is 9-0 in its last nine home games against Vancouver and the total has gone UNDER in four of the teams’ last five matchups at Scotiabank Arena at sports betting sites. The Maple Leafs are also 11-4 in their last 15 home games as a moneyline favourite of -185 to -215, with the total going OVER 10 times. Vancouver is 5-9 in its last 14 away games as a +160 to +200 underdog, with the total going UNDER nine times.
Canucks vs Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
The Canucks are 6-9-0 and have been outscored 22-9 during their four-game losing streak. Vancouver is allowing an NHL-worst 13.12 high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes of five-on-five play, according to Natural Stat Trick. That means the Canucks need an outlier scoring effort from their Bo Horvat- and Elias Pettersson-led …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation

Canucks vs Maple Leafs 02/06/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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The Toronto Maple Leafs’ so-so results as a big home favourite might be superseded by the Vancouver Canucks’ tendency to get into wide-open games.
The Maple Leafs are -190 favourites and the Vancouver Canucks are +165 underdogs with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Saturday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Toronto is just 10-7 in its last 17 home games (regular-season only) as a moneyline favourite of -170 to -210, with the OVER hitting in nine of those matchups.
Canucks vs Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
Vancouver is 8-12 in its last 20 away games as a +150 to +200 underdog, with the OVER hitting at online betting sites in six of their last nine away games where their price fell in that range. Head-to-head, the Maple Leafs are 5-1 in their last six games against the Canucks where they were favoured.
Toronto defeated Vancouver 7-3 on Thursday, marking the first time in eight matchups where the OVER hit while the Maple Leafs were favoured. They host the Canucks again on Monday.
The Canucks, who are 6-8-0, seem to have one defining dubious distinction. Natural Stat Trick rates Vancouver first in the 31-team NHL in high-danger …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation

Maple Leafs vs Oilers 01/30/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

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The Toronto Maple Leafs have been good at banking road wins at this time of the calendar year, although there is always that concern about a team getting too comfortable with success. The Maple Leafs are a -130 away favourite against the +110 home underdog Edmonton Oilers with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Saturday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Over the last five seasons, Toronto is 11-5 as a road favourite in the month of January with the total going OVER in nine of those 16 matchups at betting sites. The Maple Leafs are 9-4 in 13 matchups under head coach Sheldon Keefe as a road moneyline favourite of -110 to -130, compared to 7-7 when their closing moneyline has dipped past -131.
Maple Leafs vs Oilers | OddsShark Matchup Report
The Oilers are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home underdog in January. Under head coach Dave Tippett, the Oilers are 4-8 in their last 12 games as a +110 to +130 underdog (home or away), with the OVER going 6-4-2. Toronto’s 4-3 win against Edmonton on Thursday improved the Maple Leafs’ record to  9-2 in their last 11 matchups against the Oilers. The total …

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Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation