These Toronto Blue Jays were supposed to be one of the best hitting teams in baseball.
Instead, nearly two months into the season, they’ve tallied the 7th fewest runs in the league. Though the team wRC+ ranks 17th, possibly some reason for optimism, the Blue Jays have still failed to perform as expected at the plate. But why?
While everyone has their opinions, perhaps the most prominent is that the team has failed to perform in the clutch in 2022. The Blue Jays have certainly struggled to hit with RISP, however, it’s hard to see this as the source of their problems. Toronto’s Expected Weighted On-Base Average (xwOBA) with runners on second or third is poor. As a matter of fact, it’s 8th lowest in MLB. However, they’ve only managed to accumulate 377 PAs in those situations, (less than offensive bottom feeders like Cincinnati) which is the 6th least in baseball, and indicative of the fact that they aren’t really hitting in any situation, though, there’s no doubt that they’ve been especially bad with runners on.
The secret to the Blue Jays’ success, or more accurately, lack thereof, in 2022 is due to plate discipline. Here’s why.
Most would consider Guerrero Jr., Bichette, Hernández, and Springer to be the 4 best hitters on the Jays, and they frequently hit top four in the lineup. When evaluating their Swing/Take profiles, we uncover the heart of the issue. When looking at the chase rates, or O-Swing%, 3/4 of the Jays’ big boppers are posting below ave …
Author: Tate Kispech / Blue Jays Nation